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The markets have been volatile in the wake of the prolonged Rusian-Ukraine war, food and energy crisis, and COVID-19 lockdown. Stocks and cryptocurrencies are hitting record lows every month, while...
Fed To Slow Tightening Pace After Weak GDP? It Is A Naive Fantasy
The dollar dropped, stocks rallied, and US bond yield fell. That was the market reaction we saw last week. The question is will these price reactions be sustainable?
Super Week Coming: Earnings, Fed And GDP Show That Markets Will Be Extremely Volatile
It is a big week. More than a third of companies in the S&P 500 will be releasing their Q2 earnings reports during this period, including many large tech names. In addition, the Fed's July meeting is...
Unstoppable Dollar Puts Financial Assets At Risk Amid Fed’s No-Mercy Tightening
The dollar’s strength is becoming a self-reinforcing risk, which could become a headwind to world economic growth and put financial markets at risk. Should the dollar continue to rise, risk assets,...
Risk Assets To Face More Selling Pressure With No Sign of Fed To Ease
Hit by endless inflation, the Fed looks increasingly likely to double down on its hiking pace even if it becomes clear that the US economy is in a recession. All that threatens to increase...
All You Need To Know At The Beginning Of The Second Half Of The Year From Stocks To FX
Fed is likely to hike another 75bps in July before slowing down the hiking pace from September to December and the Fed fund rate should be around 3% by end of the year.
Market Rebound Could Be ‘Fake’ As Major Risks Remain Unsolved
The past week’s stock gains, especially in the US, do not signal a fresh spate of risk-on. Recession talks could intensity sooner or later as cyclical/defensive ratio for European/US stocks has...
How To Outperform When Fed Policy Damages Both Stocks and Bonds
With a potential economic recession and an aggressive Fed rate hike path, stocks have yet to reach the bottom, and gold may rise again as a safe haven.
Will Fed Raise Rates By 75bps This Week?
Friday’s inflation report was a negative catalyst for markets that were already pricing in worries about hot inflation and recession fears. CPI rose 8.6% year over year, well above the 8.3% expected...
