The FOMC minutes to be released this week gains the most attention. The Fed is expected to reveal a long journey ahead in the tightening cycle with cuts off the table. We would discount any...
The gains in jobs and wages are inconsistent with the central bank’s goal of stable prices. That means the Fed may continue raising the rates, which is good news for the dollar.
The markets have been volatile in the wake of the prolonged Rusian-Ukraine war, food and energy crisis, and COVID-19 lockdown. Stocks and cryptocurrencies are hitting record lows every month, while...
The dollar dropped, stocks rallied, and US bond yield fell. That was the market reaction we saw last week. The question is will these price reactions be sustainable?
It is a big week. More than a third of companies in the S&P 500 will be releasing their Q2 earnings reports during this period, including many large tech names. In addition, the Fed's July meeting is...
The dollar’s strength is becoming a self-reinforcing risk, which could become a headwind to world economic growth and put financial markets at risk. Should the dollar continue to rise, risk assets,...
Hit by endless inflation, the Fed looks increasingly likely to double down on its hiking pace even if it becomes clear that the US economy is in a recession. All that threatens to increase...
Fed is likely to hike another 75bps in July before slowing down the hiking pace from September to December and the Fed fund rate should be around 3% by end of the year.
The past week’s stock gains, especially in the US, do not signal a fresh spate of risk-on. Recession talks could intensity sooner or later as cyclical/defensive ratio for European/US stocks has...
With a potential economic recession and an aggressive Fed rate hike path, stocks have yet to reach the bottom, and gold may rise again as a safe haven.
